If Santi Solari has any sense, this should be the message he'll
give his players just before they stride out to try to beat
Barcelona in a Bernabeu Liga, Copa del Rey or Champions
League Clasico for just the third time in a decade: "Go for the
throat right from the start!"
Across those 10 seasons, Barcelona have gone to the heart of
their historic enemies' citadel and won nine times, drawing
twice. It's the most remarkable decade in the 90 years of their
rivalry. But for Madrid to buck that trend, reach the Copa final
and turn the fledgling hope of their first-leg 1-1 draw in the
Camp Nou into victory, there are clues for Solari, Ramos,
Vinicius, Benzema & Co.
Barcelona's preparation for this tie, preceding another Clasico
in the league on Saturday, one that should determine Madrid's
future in the title chase, was nothing short of spectacular.
You'll wait many years, travel many miles and spend
thousands on match tickets before you'll see a better, more
thrilling, more theatrical or more spectacular second half than
Sevilla losing to Leo Messi's 50th career hat trick last
weekend. But Madrid's interim coach and all of his video
analysis team will have spotted a flaw in Barcelona's armour.
Over their past six matches in all three competitions, Barca
have tended to start their performances like an old man with a
bad back on a wet Wednesday in January.
Against Valencia, they were 2-0 down at home after half an
hour. Against Madrid in the cup, they were 1-0 down after six
minutes thanks to pretty horrible defending by both full-backs.
Against Athletic Club, Lyon and Sevilla, they were either
trailing to an early goal (Saturday) or conceding a flood of
chances, and if body language is anything to go by, Ernesto
Valverde's players were collectively saying, "Hold on... HOLD
ON! Won't you slow down a bit, please? "
Think of Marc-Andre ter Stegen's top-corner save to deny
Markel Susaeta, an even better one to stop Martin Terrier's in
Lyon that went on to hit the bar, how Raul Garcia nearly scored
with an overhead kick in San Mames or Quincy Promes'
missing the target right in front of goal in the opening
moments at the Nervion.
Across those matches, Barcelona didn't lose once; they either
clawed back to draw, kept a clean sheet or turned a losing
position into victory. The message to Madrid is crystal clear:
put them on the rack, don't let up the pressure, bury your
chances and kill the game in the first 20 minutes. Or you'll pay.
But can Madrid pull it off?
In principal, this is the key game that should matter least to
Barca, if they had to choose. Winning the Liga Clasico on
Saturday will conclusively erase Madrid from that contest. It
would be a massive boon if Barcelona can achieve it. Even
given the points gap, a Barca defeat at the Bernabeu just
keeps the terrifying thought of Solari's team hunting them
down alive long enough to prey on the subconscious of some
around Camp Nou.
That game is more important than this one -- at least you'd
think so, right?
Also, they have to consider the return leg against Lyon. Let
nobody kid you: Messi set the tone in August when,
speechifying as captain, he said his top objective was to bring
back the "beautiful trophy from that historic competition" to
the Barcelona fans. They don't desire the Champions League --
they crave it. They need it. They hate that they've been mere
spectators while Madrid have totted up a historic four wins in
the past five competitions. That hurts the Blaugrana psyche
more than words can capture.
A 0-0 draw away to Lyon was commendable in the
circumstances: an extended streak since 2016 of not winning
and mainly losing Champions League knockout ties away from
home, moderate domestic form and against a Ligue 1 side
that has been capable, this season, of beating both
Manchester City and PSG. But listen closely to Valverde. He
immediately called that a "dangerous scoreline" to take to the
home leg. And it is.
Barcelona vs. Lyon from a standing start? Barca are
favourites, yes, but the threat of an away goal is significant.
Will Barca be nervous? For sure. The need for Messi to stay
fully fit and on form is also of primeval importance.
That match, in a couple of weeks, is significantly more
important to Barcelona than this midweek cup game. But that
said, now is the time to consider the braking distance of an
All of you who drive know what your safe stopping distance is.
You must leave time to think, then to brake, then for the
brakes to be effective. For big vehicles -- in football terms,
teams such as Barcelona -- the distance is much greater. In
other words, the time needed between a behemoth's realising
it's time to stomp on the brakes, slowing down and actually
stopping is huge: It can be significant if you're used to traveling
at high speed.
What my comparison means is that while the Blaugrana have
been qualifying for eight of the past 10 Copa del Rey finals,
winning the past four, they've become a big rig going about 90
mph. Recently, the vast outlay of energy and intensity, plus the
lack of time for recuperation in January and February, has
begun to cost them heavily when it comes to the "it's you or
me" moments in the Champions League against Europe's
better, more aggressive and athletically sharper teams.
I wrote in this space about three seasons ago about how
Barcelona's obsession with the cup was costing them in
Europe. The club, and Carles Puyol, caught up with my thinking
a few months back, and the former captain, finding analysis to
be less emotional and more clear-cut from the sideline,
pointed out that it was time to sacrifice the hell-for-leather
approach to a domestic knockout bauble in favour of
conquering Europe again.
Yet Barca's braking distance has still been substantial. Twice
they've been on the canvas in the Copa del Rey -- away to
Levante and Sevilla in the first legs -- and then thrown the
kitchen sink at their rivals to claw back 2-1 and 2-0 deficits in
the Camp Nou leg. They are in the process of re-evaluating
and reprioritizing, but over this past decade, which plays such
a role in Wednesday's contest, fighting tigerishly in the
domestic cup has become such an ingrained part of the
majority of these players' minds that it's hard to discard.
Each and every one of Valverde's men, whether in the starting
XI or on the bench, whether it's the smart option or not, will
treat this as if it were a fight to the death, as if the loser will
be branded a rube and a chump. Although I imagine Valverde
will calibrate his starting lineup a little, he'll also be craving a
shot at Valencia or Betis in the final. His players will also
believe, in their hearts, that this can be their first step to a
Whether from the start or once they get going, we'll see
attitudes from Barcelona's players that are revealing: While
they've tapped their brakes, the distance between that decision
and this collision with Madrid has been too great to prevent
the match being all-in. For the neutral, there's an argument
that if Solari gets his prematch conclusions correct, if he picks
an absolutely full-strength XI and pinches a line from
Shakespeare to tell his troops "Cry havoc and let slip the dogs
of war," then this might be the better, more explosive and
more memorable of the two Bernabeu Clasicos that will
entertain us over the next few days.